Predictions from standard epidemiological models of consequences of segregating and isolating vulnerable people into care facilities

CORRELATION authors Joseph Hickey and Denis Rancourt have posted a new preprint to medRxiv entitled “Predictions from standard epidemiological models of consequences of segregating and isolating vulnerable people into care facilities”.

As shown in the paper, standard epidemiological models predict that isolating and segregating vulnerable people increases the epidemic attack rate among the vulnerable population in virtually all circumstances.

The authors conclude that isolated care homes of vulnerable residents are predicted to be the worst possible mixing circumstances for reducing harm in epidemic or pandemic conditions.

Download a copy of the preprint below: